Swan Signal Live - A Bitcoin Show

Bitcoin chops around ~$90k after a brief move toward ~$94k, highlighting a “flat net” year vs late-2024 levelsBrady revisits a long-running thesis: institutions, corporates, and nation-states may be dampening the classic four-year boom/bust cycleMatthew Sigel (via Bernstein) is cited arguing for an elongated cycle, limited ETF outflows during a ~30% correction, and higher long-range price targetsThe show contrasts Bitcoin and gold narratives, using a long-cycle framework to discuss “debasement trade” environments and why hard assets can rotate vs equitiesThe Fed’s latest moves are framed as balance-sheet expansion via “reserve management purchases” of T-bills—QE-by-another-name and “money printing,” even if not labeled QEA Supr...

Contrast between today’s macro backdrop and the 2021 Bitcoin peak, with tighter liquidity, higher rates, and far stronger structural support for BitcoinCory’s base case: no classic 80% “crypto winter” drawdowns anymore and a strong chance of new all-time highs in 2026John’s “yearly lows” chart framing: rising annual Bitcoin floors as proof of real accumulation and diminishing panic sellingLarry Fink, Harvard, sovereign wealth funds, and major banks (BofA, Vanguard, Schwab, Citi) as long-term Bitcoin buyers, not momentum touristsDiscussion of CFTC-approved spot Bitcoin trading on designated contract markets as another on-ramp for pensions and endowmentsBig critique of prediction markets and “scambling” (scam + gambling) a...

Jeff Booth explains why Bitcoin is the foundation for the world’s first true free market—one that naturally trends toward deflation and abundanceArgues that existing fiat systems must inflate due to debt dynamics, guaranteeing increasing centralization, surveillance, and coercionDissects Elon Musk’s claim that money will become irrelevant—agreeing only if humanity transitions to a Bitcoin-based system with privacy layersShows why AI and robotics accelerate deflation in a free market, but cause chaos and inequality inside fiat systemsBreaks down why housing, healthcare, and education prices rise despite technological efficiency: money printing, not real scarcityHelps new Bitcoiners understand price volatility and why...

Brady joins from Bitcoin Amsterdam and reports extremely positive conference sentiment despite Bitcoin’s price consolidating around $95–105KHosts discuss how price often disconnects from fundamentals and why Bitcoin’s thesis remains intactReview of historical “conference dumps” showing that IRL Bitcoin community morale stays strong even during drawdownsDeep dive on inflation, the disappearance of the U.S. penny, and long-term fiat degradation compared to BitcoinMacro breakdown: surging U.S. interest expense now surpasses defense spending; government shutdown ends; TGA likely to release liquidityDiscussion of proposed stimulus checks, 50-year mortgages, and portable/assumable mortgages as evidence policymakers won’t tolerate asset price deflationCze...

Lyn Alden returns to discuss Bitcoin’s current cycle, macro conditions, and her new sci-fi novelPanel examines a ~25% pullback and whether it’s a pause or a new bear marketLyn argues halvings now matter less; macro and liquidity dominate price actionJohn notes 2025 doesn’t resemble 2021’s top across inflation, M2, deficits, and Fed postureBitcoin behaves more like a large-cap asset with institutional rebalancing muting extremesLyn sees mild recession risk amid fiscal dominance and a two-speed economy, with reacceleration in 2026–27TGA fill and recent repo stress cited as short-term drags on Bitcoin liquidity“OG” distribution framed as an IPO-like rotation to broader holder...

Celebrating White Paper Day Eve, the 17th anniversary of the Bitcoin white paperGuest Phil Champagne discusses the second edition of The Book of Satoshi, which now includes newly released private email exchanges from early Bitcoin contributors revealed through the COPA v. Craig Wright lawsuitChampagne explains how these emails deepen our understanding of Satoshi Nakamoto’s thinking and confirm that Bitcoin’s creator was likely a single individual, not a teamInsights into Satoshi’s mindset, motivations, and Austrian economics background—his aim to build a decentralized monetary system free from third partiesDiscussion of Bitcoin’s early forum culture, featuring figures like Hal Finney...

Vijay Boyapati returns to Swan Signal Live to discuss Bitcoin’s role as pristine collateral and its integration into traditional finance.JP Morgan plans to offer loans backed by crypto ETFs—signaling growing institutional acceptance of Bitcoin as financial collateral.Vijay explains why Bitcoin’s properties—no counterparty risk, global liquidity, 24/7 markets—make it the best collateral ever created.Discussion on Bitcoin-backed loans: the risks of leverage, loan term structure, and how wealthy investors can borrow without selling BTC.Debate on Bitcoin’s financialization: libertarian skepticism vs. inevitability of Bitcoin entering traditional markets.Vijay breaks down Bitcoin adoption waves—from cypherpunks an...

Bitcoin dropped to $106K after a sudden Friday sell-off, triggering panic across crypto markets—but Swan’s team remained calm, stressing the long-term thesis is unchanged.John Haar and Isaiah noted that Bitcoin fell just 10% while altcoins crashed 50–90%, underscoring Bitcoin’s liquidity and resilience.The team compared the pullback to past cycles, arguing this is not a cycle top but typical mid-bull market volatility.Discussion on Fed Chair Powell signaling an end to QT and potential rate cuts—seen as a tailwind for Bitcoin as monetary easing returns.John highlighted data showing Bitcoin rose 750% during the Fed’s tightening cycle, disproving t...

The team jokes about “Bitcoin being dead again” after Trump’s new tariff threats against China tanked markets and briefly pulled Bitcoin to $117K.They analyze Trump’s tariff negotiation style, calling it political theater and a dip-buying opportunity for “active tariff dip buyers.”Discussion on Core V30 debates—Bitcoiners fighting among themselves as a “bear market signal,” contrasting with the historic block size wars.VJ Boyapati’s chart shows long consolidation phases in this cycle—evidence of healthier, institutional-driven adoption rather than retail mania.Gold hits $4,000/oz, outperforming U.S. stocks; the hosts link gold’s run to the global debasement trade...

Bitcoin kicks off October pressing against all-time highs near $123,900, setting an exciting tone for Q4Recap of BTC in DC at the Kennedy Center, featuring Michael Saylor, Cynthia Lummis, Adam Back, Pierre Rochard, Jeff Booth, Samson Mow, and many moreKey focus on academia’s role in Bitcoin adoption, with examples from Cornell and GW University partnershipsPubKey DC discussed as a future hub for staffers, policymakers, and Bitcoiners in WashingtonMacro landscape: global rate cuts (168 so far this year), stimulus check proposals, stagflation concerns, and every major US index hitting all-time highs alongside Bitcoin“The Debasement Trade”: JP Morgan recognizes the growing move i...

Ben and Jeff break down Strive’s reverse merger and rapid acquisition of Similar Scientific—completed in just four days.The deal strengthens balance sheet credit quality, improves leverage capacity, and positions the combined entity for perpetual preferred securities.Connection to Vivek Ramaswamy’s background in healthcare and politics creates potential synergies for future spin-offs.Bitcoin Treasury Company sector has faced a steep correction, but consolidation may create stronger, scalable firms.Ben emphasizes scale—5,000+ BTC balance sheets—as key for accessing institutional preferred markets.Treasury companies are experimenting with innovative financing structures (ATM issuance, convertible bonds, perpetual preferreds).Discussion on investor p...

Fed cut 25 bps; panel debates politics creeping into policy and what it means for risk assetsTrump nominee Stephen Miran and the floated “third mandate” to “moderate long-term rates” seen as soft yield-curve controlCPI data quality questioned: imputation/estimates are rising while lived costs outpace headline CPIHousing at peak unaffordability; searches for mortgage help, rent trouble, and credit-card stress are surgingLabor mixed: manufacturing jobs slipping; job openings back near 2019 while S&P hovers near ATHsMoody’s recession risk ~48%—yet hosts note policymakers rarely tolerate prolonged market drawdownsPanel takeaway: despite macro cracks, being long scarce/risk assets (Bitcoin, equities, real estate, gold) generally wi...

The panel opened with reflections on the tragic assassination of Charlie Kirk and other recent violent events, framing them through the lens of The Fourth Turning by Strauss & Howe.Discussion on how history moves in ~80–100 year cycles of crisis and renewal, with Bitcoin and decentralized protocols potentially forming the backbone of the next institutional order.John emphasized perspective, comparing today’s turmoil with past upheavals (1960s, 1970s, World Wars), and highlighted the role of media saturation in shaping perceptions.Panelists praised Kirk’s willingness to debate respectfully, lamenting the erosion of open dialogue in society.Shifted to macro: China’s gold acc...

Global long-yield rise vs. easing cycles; fiscal dominance and debt saturation

Fed cuts likely in September; inflation still >2%

Gold performance and the “trust migration” from fiat assets

Harvard endowment signal; Treasury long-bond buybacks funded by bills

Dalio’s “debt-induced heart attack” timeline

Bitcoin seasonality and volatility compression; SOV → MoE arc

Corporate BTC treasuries surpass 1M BTC; possible MSTR S&P 500 inclusion

ARC + Lightning progress; Bitcoin culture (“Killing Satoshi”)

Swan Private helps HNWI, companies, trusts, and other entities go beyond legacy fina...

Whales & Long-Term Holders Selling: Profit-taking by OG wallets is redistributing supply. Many are diversifying custody or rotating some BTC into ETFs for margin/borrowing flexibility.

Seasonality Matters: Bitcoin weakness in August/September is common; thin liquidity + vacation season amplify dips.

ETFs as Financial Rails: Institutions and wealthy holders prefer ETFs for cheaper margin rates compared to Bitcoin-backed loans.

Retail vs OG Perspective: Whale trims feel like “dumping” to retail but are natural in Bitcoin’s monetization process.

Global Reserves Shift: For the first time since the 1990s, central banks hold more gold t...

Lighthearted banter to kick things off—coffee, creatine, and mushroom elixirs fueling the Swan crewMarket focus: Jerome Powell signals possible September Fed rate cut, sparking a sharp Bitcoin rally to $117K+Discussion on short-term market sentiment vs long-term conviction: zoom out, stay focused on fundamentalsTechnical analysis spotlight: Bitcoin’s 200-day SMA crosses $100K for the first time, historically a bullish long-term signalDebate over whether Bitcoin will continue classic boom–bust cycles or “grind boringly” upward due to ETF + institutional flowsBitcoin seasonality chart reviewed: September historically weak, but October and November deliver strong gains (“Uptober”)MicroStrategy revises MNAV guidance on ATM issuance—spark...

Anniversary reflections: 54 years since Nixon closed the gold window in 1971 and 5 years since MicroStrategy announced its first Bitcoin purchaseGlobal inflation since 1971: No country has averaged 3,000 BTC in partnership with SwanMicroStrategy “Stretch” (STRC): Explained as a variable coupon preferred equity designed to tap bond-like capital pools, offering ~9% returnsQuick hits: Bitcoin obituary count at all-time lows, Google Play walks back non-custodial wallet ban, UK pushes bizarre “delete emails to save water” advice, and James Chanos misunderstands network effects

Swan Private helps HNWI, companies, trusts, and other entities go beyond legacy finance with BItcoin. Learn more at swan.com/private.  
 

Put B...

Major Policy Shift: President Trump signs an executive order directing the Department of Labor to reexamine fiduciary guidance, opening the door for Bitcoin and crypto investments in 401(k) retirement plans — a $9 trillion market.

Implementation Timeline: Panel agrees it’s medium-to-long-term bullish but may take 1–2 years before Bitcoin ETFs appear broadly in 401(k) offerings due to provider-by-provider approval.

Bitcoin vs. Crypto: Hosts stress ongoing need to educate the public on why Bitcoin is different from other cryptocurrencies, as broader “crypto” inclusion could expose investors to higher-risk assets.

Regulatory Clarity: Michael Saylor and others call...

MicroStrategy’s new Stretch preferred equity product raised $2.5B—5x oversubscribed—marking the largest U.S. equity IPO in 2025 so farStretch offers a 9% yield, targeting fixed-income investors, and positions MicroStrategy to tap into trillions in money market capitalDiscussion of the growing trend of Bitcoin Treasury companies, with over 160 firms now holding BTC on their balance sheetsAlex and John caution investors to treat Bitcoin-related equities as high-risk—spot Bitcoin should remain the core holdingRay Dalio now recommends a 15% allocation to Bitcoin or gold, signaling growing institutional acceptance of Bitcoin as digital goldThe IMF’s energy FUD was debunked, with Daniel Batten and Lynn A...

The Swan team humorously opened by mocking government spending inefficiency, referencing the Fed’s $3.1 billion office renovationDiscussed the unusual dynamic between President Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell, including Trump's public pressure for rate cuts and stimulusAnalyzed the Fed Funds futures curve and how market expectations for rate cuts through 2026 are priced in via CME dataExplored the Galaxy Digital sale of 70,000 BTC from a 2011 whale, highlighting Bitcoin's strong liquidity and resilience to heavy selling pressureJohn Haar explained MicroStrategy’s new $2.5 billion “Stretch” preferred stock, comparing it to a short-duration yield instrument with monthly payoutsDebated fiat’s distortion of housing affordability and genera...

Bitcoin hits another all-time high (ATH) at $123K amid relentless demand and tightening supplyHistoric legislative wins in the U.S.: CBDC ban codified into law; $600 de minimis tax exemption for Bitcoin spending under discussionBitcoin enters the White House press room as Bitcoin Magazine asks key policy questionsAdam Back and Blockstream in a $4B SPAC deal with Cantor Fitzgerald to create a Bitcoin treasury operationMicroStrategy now holds 3% of all Bitcoin, pioneering “speculative attack” borrowing at ultra-low interest ratesDebate on whether Bitcoin’s cycles are maturing: lower volatility and fewer sharp drawdowns this cycleRising Bitcoin treasury companies seen as a driver for long-t...

Bitcoin at All-Time Highs: The crew celebrates Bitcoin’s new all-time highs around $118K and discusses whether we’re due for a 10% pullback. Predictions ranged from a short-term dip at $119K to price discovery pushing beyond $130K.

Institutional Adoption & Bitcoin Treasuries:

Discussion on the rise of Bitcoin treasury companies like Sequans (guided by Swan) and how they differ in execution, strategy, and impact.

The panel emphasizes that these companies aren’t meant for retail speculation but as vehicles for institutions to gain Bitcoin exposure.

“Speculative attack at scale” is driving corporate demand for...

Bitcoin Price Action: Hovering near $110K, with all-time highs above $112K recently. Discussed global liquidity spikes and the M2 money supply’s correlation with Bitcoin price trends.

Macroeconomics:

U.S. deficits, debt concerns, and the “Big Beautiful Bill” passing.

Ray Dalio’s remarks on the political impossibility of balancing the U.S. budget, echoing the “nothing stops this train” meme.

The impact of AI as a deflationary force and its implications for the fiat system.

Bitcoin as an Exit Strategy:

Personal responsibility in opting out of the fiat system...

In this special episode of Swan Signal Live, the team bids a heartfelt farewell to longtime host Steven Lubka as he steps away from his regular role. Steven reflects on nearly five transformative years at Swan, building Swan Private and helping onboard thousands of high-net-worth individuals into Bitcoin. Emotions run high as the crew reminisces on shared experiences and growth.

The discussion then dives into major Bitcoin developments:

Bitcoin in Mortgages: The FHFA is reportedly guiding Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to recognize Bitcoin as an asset in mortgage underwriting — a shift that could help Bi...

Bitcoin continues its historic streak—43 consecutive days closing above $100,000. The Swan Signal crew dives into what this milestone means, including comparisons to Joe DiMaggio’s legendary hitting streak and the waning attention from normies, despite Bitcoin reaching all-time highs.

Steven shares insight on why emerging markets and Bitcoin have outperformed, citing Lynn Alden’s early calls. Meanwhile, John highlights how the broader TradFi world is just starting to wake up to Bitcoin’s disruptive potential—despite cringe moments like Brian Armstrong pitching Bitcoin as a “new” idea or Wall Street macro types clumsily suggesting gold/oil-backed stablecoins from geopoliti...

Trump–Elon “Breakup”: The show kicks off with the high-profile political and cultural split between Donald Trump and Elon Musk. The hosts speculate whether the split was coordinated to help Elon politically, and explore what it says about naive techno-optimism in politics versus the hard constraints of monetary and fiscal reality.

“Nothing Stops This Train” Theme: Echoing Lynn Alden and Luke Gromen, the crew reaffirms that the U.S. fiscal path is locked into deficit and debt expansion. Cutting entitlements or defense is politically impossible, and the only off-ramp might be a miraculous AI-driven productivity boom—which is unlikely...

Swan Signal Live – Episode Recap (May 17, 2025)
Title: “All-Time High Week: Bitcoin Blasts to $111K, LBE Stocks Surge, and the Debt Train Rolls On”
Guests: Brady Swenson, Alex Stanczyk, Steven Lubka, John Haar (Swan Private)

🚀 Bitcoin Hits $111K – “We Are So Back”

After a five-month wait since January, Bitcoin breaks through to a new all-time high of $111K.

Optimism surges among the Swan Private team as they reflect on the market momentum and macro backdrop.

Traditional markets remain volatile amid tariffs and economic uncertainty, but Bitcoin shines.

💼 Meta Planet & The LBE S...

Duration: 00:57:02

1. 500K Bitcoin Predictions & Market Sentiment
The crew discussed the recent wave of bullish sentiment led by industry voices like Adam Back, Bitfinex analysts, and Vibes Capital. Adam Back predicts $500K–$1M this cycle, while Vibes Capital cites $100B in anticipated corporate treasury demand plus potential U.S. government Bitcoin buys. With consistent ETF inflows, particularly BlackRock’s IBIT, and support levels holding near $100K, sentiment is peaking.

2. Treasury Demand & Speculative Attack Narrative
MicroStrategy’s playbook is now being followed by a growing list of public firms using debt and equity to acquire Bitcoin. The panel emphas...

In this high-energy episode, Steven Lubka joins Swan Signal Live to discuss the resurgence of Bitcoin, macroeconomic shifts, and the rise of vibes-driven investing. Bitcoin surged over 30% in the past month, breaking above $103K amid easing U.S.-China trade tensions and a “wait and see” stance from the Federal Reserve. Lubka and the hosts break down how Bitcoin is thriving as both a risk-on asset and a safe haven in a volatile economic environment.

They explore the emergence of leveraged Bitcoin equities — with companies like 21.co, Strive, and BTC Inc. launching MicroStrategy-style acquisition vehicles. Michael Saylor’s use of...

MicroStrategy’s Vision: A landmark two-hour earnings call revealed MSTR’s intensified strategy, expanding the “21/21 Plan” to a 42/42 Plan, doubling their equity and fixed income issuance goal to $42B each.

Bitcoin Outperforming Tech: BTC has outpaced major tech stocks, decoupling from Nasdaq and S&P 500. The team discusses why Bitcoin is now seen as digital gold, not a speculative tech asset.

The Rise of Bitcoin Treasuries: MSTR's creative debt and equity strategies — including STRIKE and STRIFE — aim to unlock trillions in institutional capital. Saylor’s push for credit ratings could supercharge access to global fixed income markets...

Main Topics:
This week’s episode of Swan Signal Live delivers a powerful mix of Bitcoin analysis, macroeconomic insights, and a dose of Swan-inspired creatine meme lore. The team dives into the ongoing “creatine craze” sparked by Brandon Quittem, which made waves even at institutional events like the Bitwise conference. Then it's all business—Bitcoin’s 10K+ weekly price rally is dissected, especially in contrast to traditional markets like the S&P 500, which are still reeling.

The conversation intensifies as the hosts break down a pivotal speech by Bessent from the Trump administration on reforming global financial...

Macro Markets Update: John Haar notes markets have stabilized this week after recent volatility, driven largely by significant global trade and monetary reforms initiated by the Trump administration. Haar emphasizes the complexity and potential hurdles these reforms face, including public perception and economic disruptions.

Global Trade and Tariff Impacts: Discussion on the administration's rapid tariff policy adjustments, the potential impacts on equities and treasury yields, and the need for clearer policy direction to sustain market confidence.

Bitcoin Market: Steven Lubka and Jason Bassett highlight Bitcoin's relative strength despite broader market turbulence. Liquidity conditions and potential...

In this episode, the Swan team dives into the week’s tumultuous markets, triggered by escalating tariff tensions between the US and China. With sweeping tariff announcements initially roiling equities, a sudden pivot by the administration briefly stabilized stock prices—yet concerns remain about stress in market “plumbing,” particularly negative swap spreads and rising bond yields. The discussion highlights how quickly financial conditions can shift, forcing the Federal Reserve’s hand toward potential liquidity measures or yield curve control.

On the Bitcoin front, the hosts note that BTC’s performance has diverged notably from equities and other risk assets...

This week’s Swan Signal Live unpacks a major market anomaly: on a day when the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and gold all dropped sharply, Bitcoin stayed strong—even ticking up. The team explores whether we’re witnessing the early stages of a true decoupling, as more voices from TradFi, including Joe Weisenthal and Larry Fink, acknowledge Bitcoin’s resilience.

They also dive into Trump’s new tariff strategy, branded “Liberation Day,” raising questions about trade math, inflation, and how tariffs could play into broader economic negotiations. While some call the plan misguided, the crew sees it as a blunt but in...

In this power-packed Swan Signal Live episode, the team unpacks one of the most explosive corporate Bitcoin developments since MicroStrategy: GameStop’s $1.3 billion raise—possibly growing to $1.5B—for “general corporate purposes”… and potentially Bitcoin.

Ben Workman breaks down why this move makes strategic sense and how GameStop could become the second-largest public holder of BTC, right behind MicroStrategy. The crew explores what this means for corporate adoption, meme stock mania colliding with Bitcoin, and the critical importance of “showing, not telling” when it comes to deploying capital.

Key themes include:

In this high-energy episode of Swan Signal Live, the team dives into an action-packed week of Bitcoin and macro news. Steven kicks things off celebrating a hard-fought victory in Bitcoin Bugle’s “March Maxi Madness,” but the real meat of the show comes with analysis of the Fed’s dovish tone, Trump’s tariff plans, and growing signals of U.S. Bitcoin accumulation.

Key Topics Covered:

In a historic moment for Bitcoin, Swan Signal Live brought together Lynn Alden, Ben Workman, and the Swan team to break down the U.S. government's newly established Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR). The conversation highlighted the White House executive order, which cements Bitcoin—not crypto—as a strategic asset.

Key Takeaways:

The crew tackled Bitcoin’s recent dip to 78k. They opened with a cheerful nod to the dip as a “soul-cleansing” buying opportunity, reflecting their seasoned perspective after years of volatility, including the 2020 COVID crash that birthed the show. They emphasized that Bitcoin’s long-term thesis remains unshaken despite the 20-25% drop from its 108k peak, aligning it with broader market pullbacks in stocks like Nvidia and Tesla. Vijay Boyapati’s insights framed the dip as typical bull market chop, while charts showed historical cycles and an “air pocket” suggesting a possible test of 72k. The crew debunked short-term fears tied to...

The crew kicks off with playful jabs about a recent game, musing if Canada could become the 51st U.S. state for its hockey flair and tariff-free maple syrup. The conversation swiftly pivots to Bitcoin, where the crew dives into market trends, spotlighting a chart from analyst Tur Demeester showing Bitcoin’s four-year holding pattern against gold, primed for an "epic" rally. They debate gold’s role as Bitcoin’s closest cousin, its price trends, and a potential Fort Knox audit hyped by Trump and Musk. The crew unpacks bullish signals like the MVRV ratio, institutional moves (e.g., GameSt...

Swan Signal Live covered major Bitcoin developments, headlined by Abu Dhabi's sovereign wealth fund disclosing a $437M Bitcoin ETF position and Wisconsin's pension fund investing $321M in Bitcoin ETFs. State Street and Citibank announced plans to launch crypto custody services, marking another step in Bitcoin's institutional integration. The hosts discussed the mempool clearing for the first time in two years, suggesting Bitcoin's current primary use as a store of value rather than a payment system. They also covered CPI data showing 3% inflation, Ray Dalio's comments on gold and Bitcoin as portfolio diversifiers, and noted that nine companies now have...

In this episode of Swan Signal Live, the hosts discuss recent developments in the Bitcoin space. They analyze David Sachs' press conference regarding the potential U.S. Bitcoin Strategic Reserve, noting his repeated use of "Bitcoin reserve" rather than "digital assets." The conversation shifts to Trump's economic vision, including plans for a U.S. sovereign wealth fund modeled after Norway's approach. They explore how Norway has leveraged its natural resources and now has indirect Bitcoin exposure through investments in companies like MicroStrategy. The hosts also discuss the Czech Republic's new policy eliminating capital gains tax on Bitcoin holdings after...

The latest Swan Signal Live episode covered major developments in Bitcoin and markets, including Trump's new tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, which caused some market volatility but saw quick recovery. A significant focus was Trump's executive order on digital assets, which prohibited CBDCs, protected individual rights to participate in blockchain networks, and proposed a national digital asset stockpile. The hosts discussed positive regulatory developments including Powell's comments on banks serving crypto customers and important changes to banking rules (SAB 121 repeal and FASB changes). The episode concluded with observations about Bitcoin's continued dominance over other cryptocurrencies and Swan Bitcoin's...

The latest episode of Swan Signal Live recapped a busy week for the Swan team, including a successful event in New York featuring Bitcoin thought leaders like Lynn Alden and Tad Smith. The crew discussed Bitcoin’s strong price movement alongside equities, driven by cooling inflation data and expectations of future Federal Reserve rate cuts. They explored the potential impact of regulatory changes, such as the repeal of SAB 121, on corporate Bitcoin adoption and how broader financial trends could influence Bitcoin’s role as a store of value. The team also speculated on the possible actions of the incoming U.S...

In this episode of Swan Signal Live, the crew dives into topics shaping Bitcoin and the broader economy. They reflect on the anniversary of Bitcoin's first transaction between Satoshi and Hal Finney, celebrating Bitcoin's transformative history. Discussions explore the macroeconomic impact of inflation targets, fiscal dominance, and shifting Federal Reserve policies, highlighting Bitcoin’s role as a hedge in an increasingly uncertain financial landscape. The crew also examines Bitcoin ETFs’ explosive growth and their implications for adoption. Throughout, they emphasize the systemic challenges of fiat money and advocate for Bitcoin’s potential to empower individuals globally. Catch this lively and in...

In this Swan Signal Live episode, the crew reflected on 2024 and took some shots at predicting 2025. They broke down Bitcoin's killer performance - up 121% in 2024, crushing most other assets. The guys dug into a photo of Eric Trump with Michael Saylor at Mar-a-Lago, suggesting the Trump family is seriously warming up to Bitcoin. They debated odds of a U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve under a potential Trump administration, throwing out 40-80% probability estimates. The crew's 2025 price predictions were spicy - most seeing $200-250k as likely, with a 10% shot at $1M if certain dominoes fall. They riffed on Bitcoin's...

In this Swan Signal Live episode, the panel discussed Bitcoin's price pullback from $107k to $97k following Fed comments, viewing it as a normal bull market correction. They explored rumors of the UAE accumulating over 300,000 BTC ahead of potential US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve announcements, suggesting more nations may follow. The conversation covered evolving military technology and Bitcoin's role in future conflicts, noting a shift toward autonomous and cyber warfare. The hosts debated the future relationship between Bitcoin and fiat currencies, with most seeing long-term coexistence rather than complete replacement. The episode concluded with Swan announcing their new Bitcoin rewards...

The crew discussed major shifts happening in Bitcoin adoption and policy. They highlighted former CFTC Chairman Chris Giancarlo's compelling case for Bitcoin as digital gold, noting his observation that while banks have failed, the internet remains undefeated. Much of the conversation focused on the potential U.S. Bitcoin Strategic Reserve, with Eric Trump's recent speech reinforcing his father's commitment to making it happen – and other countries and states following suit. The political landscape is shifting dramatically, with over 250 pro-crypto candidates winning House seats while key anti-crypto figures lost their races. They wrapped up examining Ray Dalio's evolving stance on Bi...

In a recent Bitcoin podcast discussion, the crew analyzed Bitcoin's milestone of reaching $100,000, highlighted by supportive statements from Federal Reserve Chair Powell, Putin, and Trump within 24 hours. Powell's comparison of Bitcoin to gold rather than the dollar was seen as a significant shift in institutional recognition. The crew examined MicroStrategy's convertible bond strategy, now being replicated by other companies, while raising concerns about potential risks for late adopters attempting similar approaches.

The crew debated whether Bitcoin would continue experiencing traditional 80% market crashes, with some arguing that institutional and nation-state buyers might prevent such deep downturns. Key statistics...

Join the Swan Bitcoin team as they discuss Bitcoin nearing $100,000 and its broader implications. They delve into MicroStrategy's gains under Michael Saylor, Bitcoin's potential to address economic inequality, and its role as a global store of value. The hosts reflect on Bitcoin's mission to create systemic change, institutional interest in Bitcoin treasury strategies, and the idea of a US Bitcoin reserve. This episode captures a pivotal moment in Bitcoin’s journey while offering insights into its economic, social, and technological impact.

Swan Private helps HNWI, companies, trusts, and other entities go beyond legacy finance with BItcoin. Le...

Brady, Brandon, John, and Steven discuss a potential Strategic Bitcoin Reserve legislation, implications of Political appointments and a Bitcoin-friendly administration, and Bitcoin price action and market dynamics.

Swan Private helps HNWI, companies, trusts, and other entities go beyond legacy finance with BItcoin. Learn more at swan.com/private.  
 

Put Bitcoin into your IRA and own your future. Check out swan.com/ira.

Swan Vault makes advanced Bitcoin security simple. Learn more at swan.com/vault.


 

This Swan Signal podcast discussed major Bitcoin developments following Trump's election win. Key points included:

Bitcoin hitting new all-time highs around $77,000
Discussion of potential "super cycle" with $800k-850k price targets
Analysis of Trump administration's likely pro-Bitcoin policies, including a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve
Significance of the Lummis bill and possibility of US government Bitcoin purchases
Record inflows into Bitcoin ETFs post-election
Discussion of Fed policy and potential new Treasury Secretary Scott Besant
Overall sentiment that Bitcoin adoption is entering a new phase with mainstream acceptance, ETF access, and potential government support<...

In this Swan Signal Live episode, the hosts discussed the historic implications of Trump's election victory for Bitcoin. They highlighted how Elizabeth Warren's "war on crypto" has effectively ended, with pro-crypto candidates winning across Congress. The hosts emphasized Trump's promises, including creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve and freeing Ross Ulbricht. The second half featured the creators of Tuttle Twins, discussing their Bitcoin-focused educational cartoon episodes, including their latest release about CBDCs. The hosts noted this election marks a significant shift in Bitcoin's political acceptance, with bipartisan support growing and regulatory risks diminishing. The episode concluded with discussions about teaching...

In this Swan Signal Live episode, Lawrence Lepard joined Brady and John to discuss Bitcoin in politics ahead of Election Day. They reviewed how Bitcoin entered mainstream political discourse in 2024, including Trump's promises at the Nashville Bitcoin conference and bipartisan support for crypto legislation. The conversation focused heavily on America's dire fiscal situation, with Lepard expressing concern about unsustainable debt levels and potential currency crisis. They discussed how the current debt-to-GDP ratio mirrors post-WWII levels but lacks the same demographic and growth advantages. Lepard also teased his upcoming book aimed at explaining monetary problems and Bitcoin solutions to average...

In this episode of Swan Signal Live, hosts Brady Swenson and John Harr discuss various Bitcoin-related topics with guests Steven Lubka and Isaiah Douglas from Swan Bitcoin. The crew talks MicroStrategy's plan to raise $42 billion to buy more Bitcoin, the potential impact of the U.S. presidential election on Bitcoin's price, and the Florida CFO's push for a state Bitcoin reserve. They also compare MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holdings to Coinbase's and discuss Goldman Sachs' research on gold and its relevance to Bitcoin.

Swan Private helps HNWI, companies, trusts, and other entities go beyond legacy finance with BItcoin...

Sam sits down with Bitcoin authors Eric Yakes and Allen Farrington, to chat about the current and future outlook of Bitcoin and venture investing in the space.

Connect with Sam: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Connect with Eric: https://x.com/ericyakes
Connect with Allen: https://x.com/allenf312

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal Live” Intro
00:00:28 “Marathon Digital Holdings”
00:00:50 “Cloaked Wireless”
00:01:16 Introducing Allen and Eric
00:02:45 BTC Prague Recap
00:03:45 Bitcoin Venture Investing
00:10:24 “Timing” in Investing
00:17:48 Lightning Network: Misconceptions and Realities
00:26:20 Focusing on the Bitcoin Ecosystem
00:30:41 Bitcoin as Collateral: Futu...

Sam, Vijay, and Brady review all the events of Q2 2024, discuss where we are in this bull cycle, and make predictions on where we may be headed next quarter and beyond.

Connect with Sam: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Connect with Brady: https://x.com/CitizenBitcoin
Connect with Vijay: https://x.com/real_vijay

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal” Intro
00:01:06 “Cloaked Wireless”
00:01:30 “Pacific Bitcoin Festival”
00:02:10 Introducing Vijay Boyapati and Sam Callahan
00:02:38 Game Theory in American Politics: Trump's Support for Bitcoin
00:08:26 Political Capture of Bitcoin: Impact on US Elections
00:17:27 Dispelling Energy FUD...

Sam sits down with Christian Keroles of the Human Rights Foundation to discuss Bitcoin as a tool of empowerment and freedom, funding open-source development, and why nobody is bullish enough on Bitcoin.

Timestamps:
00:00:00 "Swan Signal" Intro
00:00:25 “Cloaked Wireless”
00:00:56 “Marathon Digital”
00:01:29 Introducing CK
00:01:56 Transition from Bitcoin Magazine to Human Rights Foundation
00:04:54 Financial Freedom Report: Stories of Bitcoin Use for Freedom
00:08:34 Funding Bitcoin Development at Human Rights Foundation
00:13:29 “The Last Mile Problem”
00:18:12 Bitcoin vs. CBDCs: Potential Impact on Human Rights
00:25:00 “Central Banks Can’t Compete with Bitcoin”
00:32:46 The Finney Freedom Pri...

Sam is joined by Andrew M. Bailey, co-author of “Resistance Money,” and Steven Lubka, Managing Director of Swan Private, to discuss how Bitcoin empowers individuals to resist authoritarians, inflation, surveillance, and financial exclusion.

Connect with Sam: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Connect with Steven: https://x.com/DzambhalaHODL
Connect with Andrew: https://x.com/resistancemoney

Timestamps:
00:00:20 “Cloaked Wireless”
00:00:53 “Marathon Digital”
00:01:18 Introducing Andrew and Steven
00:02:28 “Journey of Writing the Book, ‘Resistance Money: A Philosophical Case for Bitcoin’”
00:06:30 Bitcoin is “Resistance Money”
00:14:12 Privacy Importance in Financial Transactions
00:16:19 Likelihood of Hyper-Bitcoinization Sce...

Sam sits down with BTC Sessions for an in-depth conversation about the latest innovations happening in Bitcoin. They also discuss traveling the world to spread Bitcoin adoption, how to start a career in Bitcoin, and the importance of self-custody.

Connect with Sam: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Connect with BTC Sessions: https://x.com/BTCsessions

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Cloaked Wireless”
00:01:05 “Pacific Bitcoin Festival”
00:01:27 Introducing BTC Sessions
00:02:05 Standout Moments from “Bitcoin Prague”
00:11:48 “Oslo Freedom Fest”
00:16:57 Examples of How Bitcoin Helps Protect Human Rights
00:23:59 Bitcoin Education, and Learning in the Bull Market
00:30:31 Ne...

Sam sits down with Harry Sudock, CSO of GRIID Infrastructure and a Partner at Bitcoin Park to discuss why Bitcoin's energy use is absolutely essential, whether Bitcoin miners are net sellers or buyers today, and how Bitcoin mining as a technology is primed to revolutionize the energy industry globally.

Connect with Sam: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Connect with Harry: https://x.com/harry_sudock

Timestamps:
00:00:00 "Marathon Digital Holdings"
00:00:44 "Cloaked Wireless"
00:01:12 Introducing Harry Sudock
00:01:45 Building the Bitcoin Community in Nashville, at "Bitcoin Park"
00:06:32 Harry's Bitcoin Journey from Keynesian Economics to...

Sam sits down with Swan CIO Rapha Zagury, to discuss the recent regulatory, political and institutional focus on Bitcoin, the risk and volatility profile of Bitcoin vs Bonds, and how the game theory of Bitcoin is playing out before our very eyes.

Connect with Sam: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Connect with Rapha: https://x.com/alphaazeta

Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Swan $10k
00:01:43 - Shift in Sentiment in Washington, DC
00:02:16 - Governments Changing Their Tune on Bitcoin
00:03:08 - Bitcoin and Politics: Embracing Scarcity
00:04:12 - Political Debate on Bitcoin
00:05:17 - Bitcoin vs...

Sam sits down with Unchained's Trey Sellers to discuss Bitcoin and the FIRE (Financial Independence, Retire Early) movement, the current state of Bitcoin custody, and where he thinks we are in the cycle.

Connect with Sam: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Connect with Trey: https://x.com/ts_hodl

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Marathon Digital Holdings” Ad Read
00:00:57 Swan $10k
00:01:18 Get Tickets to the “Pacific Bitcoin Festival”
00:01:50 Introducing Trey Sellers
00:02:16 Banker Turned Bitcoiner: How Trey Found Bitcoin
00:06:04 Institutional Adoption Coming to Bitcoin
00:11:18 “Vanguard”, “Fire Movement,” and Planning for Retirement
00:14:24 “F.I.R.E. - Financial...

Sam sits down with Bitcoin legend Guy Swann to discuss the lies in money hoarding, the negative effects inflation has on society and why we celebrate Bitcoin Pizza Day.

Connect with Sam: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Connect with Guy: https://x.com/TheGuySwann

Timestamps:
00:00:00 Pacific Bitcoin Festival
00:01:21 Swan $10k No Fees
00:01:45 Introducing “Guy Swann”
00:02:10 Bitcoin and A.I.
00:12:41 “Architecture of the Internet”
00:23:19 Competition and Free Speech
00:26:55 The Future of Decentralized Tools
00:36:52 Building Decentralized Tools and Changing Communication Layers
00:47:55 Optimism about Bitcoin's Impact on Technology and Politics...

Sam sits down with Zack Shapiro, Managing Partner of the law firm Rains LLP and Legal Fellow at the Bitcoin Policy Institute to discuss all of the regulatory developments occurring in the broader cryptocurrency space including the recent enforcement actions against Tornado Cash and Samourai Wallet and what they could mean for the Bitcoin ecosystem moving forward.

Connect with Sam: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Connect with Zack: https://twitter.com/zackbshapiro

Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Pacific Bitcoin Festival
00:00:41 - Swan $10k No Fees
00:01:08 - Intro to Zach Shapiro
00:01:51 - FinCen Proposal & Mixers...

Sam sits down with James Lavish for a wide-ranging macro discussion where they touch on the ramifications of the ongoing collapse of the Japanese yen, whether the latest Treasury auctions are signalling trouble or not, and what exactly the Treasury buyback program is and what Yellen hopes to accomplish with it.

Connect with Sam: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Connect with James: https://twitter.com/jameslavish

Timestamps:
0:00 - 0:39 - Marathon Digital Holdings
0:39 - 1:04 - Pacific Bitcoin Festival
1:04 - 1:54 - Intro to James Lavish
1:54 - 9:02 - MicroStrategy Event & Institutional Adoption
9:02 - 15:16...

Sam sits down with Chris from Quoth the Raven to discuss his recent reversal on Bitcoin, the Bitcoin vs Gold debate, intrinsic value, Bitcoin as a peoples revolution against an unjust system and the uncharted territory we find ourselves in economically.

Connect with Sam: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Connect with Quoth: https://twitter.com/QTRResearch

Timestamps:
00:00:00 - "Swan Signal Live" Intro
00:01:44 - Reversal on Bitcoin
00:05:13 - Gold vs Bitcoin Community Reactions
00:14:10 - Intrinsic Value & Bitcoin vs Gold Properties
00:22:37 - What Clicked for you When Learning about Bitcoin?
00:31:47...

Sam sits down with Matyáš Kuchař and Knut Svanholm to discuss Bitcoin adoption in Europe, why we're already living through hyperbitcoinization, and why the European Bitcoin community is primed to "level up."

Connect with Sam: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Connect with Knut: https://twitter.com/knutsvanholm
Connect with Matyas: https://twitter.com/Matyas44Cook

00:00:03 - Intro
00:00:17 - Marathon Digital Holdings
00:00:47 - Pacific Bitcoin Festival
00:01:17 - Intro Knut and Matyas
00:02:40 - Bitcoin Growth in Europe
00:07:35 - CBDCs and Freedom in Europe
00:13:40 - Dangers of Collectivism & How Bitcoin Fixes It<...

Sam sits down with Chris Kuiper, Director of Research at Fidelity Digital Assets, to discuss Bitcoin's emergence as an institutional-grade asset, the merits of Proof of Work, the economics of the Bitcoin halving, the different channels to gain Bitcoin exposure, and how he envisions Bitcoin may mature in the future.

Connect with Sam: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Connect with Chris: https://twitter.com/ChrisJKuiper

Time Stamps:
0:00 - 1:02 - Pacific Bitcoin Ad
1:02 - 2:03 - Intro
2:03 - 4:58 - Bitcoin First Fidelity Paper
4:58 - 10:10 - How do you View Bitcoin versus other Cryptos?<...

Sam, Vijay, and Brady recap the most important macro events of Q1 2024, the current state of the Bitcoin bull market, the upcoming halving, and the rapidly developing Bitcoin ETF market.

Connect with Sam: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Connect with Vijay: https://twitter.com/real_vijay
Connect with Brady: https://twitter.com/CitizenBitcoin

00:00:00 - 00:00:36 - Orange Pilling & Swan Onboarding Announcement
00:00:36 - 00:03:01 - Pacific Bitcoin Festival 2024
00:03:01 - 00:04:11 - Introducing Sam & Vijay
00:04:11 - 00:05:00 - Impact of the spot Bitcoin ETFs
00:05:00 - 00:12:40 - GBTC Outflow Selling Pressure & ETF Fees
00:12:40 - 00:34:08 - The...

Sam sits down with Luke Gromen to discuss current dollar dynamics, potential drivers of persistent inflation, and the bullish case for Bitcoin and gold.

Connect with Sam: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Connect with Luke: https://twitter.com/LukeGromen

00:00:00 “Swan Signal Live” Intro
00:00:32 “Marathon” ad read
00:00:58 “Pacific Bitcoin” ad read
00:01:17 Introducing Luke Gromen
00:01:52 How the Macro-Economic Landscape has Changed Over the Past 2 Years
00:03:36 “The Great Power War”
00:12:50 Infrastructure in China vs America
00:16:13 Why a “Strong-Dollar” is Harmful to the Economy
00:23:00 Why the Federal Reserve is Signaling Rate-Cuts Already, and What Do...

Sam sits down with Larry Lepard to talk about the unsustainable nature of government spending, the inflationary backdrop, institutional Bitcoin adoption, Bitcoin vs. gold, and the $34.6 trillion debt elephant in the room.

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal Live” Intro
00:00:35 “Pacific Bitcoin Festival”
00:01:45 Introducing Larry Lepard
00:02:06 How Society is Waking Up To The Global Debt Problem
00:05:57 “Debt is the Risk Everyone is Not Seeing Anymore”
00:07:50 Jerome Powell’s Latest Comments on the Economy
00:10:27 Gold Decoupling from Real Rates
00:12:35 “Foreign Central Banks Transitioning Towards Gold”
00:19:30 Aging Infrastructure in America
00:21:04 Currency Intervention in Japan, and Tryi...

Luxor’s Matt Williams and Colin Harper join Sam Callahan for an in-depth discussion on the impact that the Bitcoin halving will have on miners, how the mining industry will scale over the next decade, and the emerging Bitcoin mining derivatives market.

Connect with Sam: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Connect with Colin: https://twitter.com/AsILayHodling
Follow Luxor: https://twitter.com/LuxorTechnology

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal” Intro
00:00:33 “Pacific Bitcoin Festival”
00:01:27 Introducing Colin and Matt
00:01:44 Importance of Bitcoin Meetups and Communities
00:03:32 2023 Bitcoin Mining Recap
00:07:24 “Hash-Price-Floor”
00:09:31 Correlation between Hash-Rate and Hash-Price...

Sam sits down with Bitcoin Magazine Editor Pete Rizzo to dissect the newly released Satoshi emails as well as discuss the ongoing trial of COPA vs Craig Wright, the current state of the market through a historical lens and Bitcoin's value proposition as an apolitical money.

Connect with Sam: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Connect with Pete: https://twitter.com/pete_rizzo_

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal” Intro
00:01:08 “Marathon Digital Holdings” Promo
00:01:33 “Pacific Bitcoin Festival” Promo
00:02:04 Introducing Pete Rizzo
00:03:00 What Got Pete into Bitcoin?
00:04:38 How Has the Sentiment for Bitcoin Changed Since 2013?<...

James Seyffart, ETF Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence joins Sam Callahan for an in-depth discussion on the massive success of the launch of the Bitcoin ETF’s. They discuss how the ETF’s operate with purchasing Bitcoin, settlement time, and inflows, and how traditional finance is opening up to Bitcoin as an asset.

Connect with Sam Callahan: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Connect with James Seyffart: https://twitter.com/JSeyff

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal Live” Intro
00:01:37 Introducing James Seyffart
00:02:18 Has the Bitcoin ETF Launch Been a Success?
00:04:15 Record Inflows into the Bitcoin ETF Market Duration: 00:58:10

On this episode Sam sits down with President of the Texas Blockchain Council Lee Bratcher to discuss the EIA's mandatory survey on miners, Bitcoin emerging as a political talking point, and how Bitcoin mining is impacting the electrical grid in Texas.

Connect with Sam: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Connect with Lee: https://twitter.com/lee_bratcher

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal Live” Intro
00:01:35 Introducing “Lee Bratcher”
00:02:37 “Texas Blockchain Council”
00:04:04 Politicians Understanding Bitcoin
00:06:25 Making Texas a Safe-Haven for Bitcoin
00:10:10 How Bitcoin Can Help maintain Grid Stability with “ERCOT”
00:12:58 “ERCOT” Members Understanding Bitcoi...

Sam is joined by Head of Swan Mining, Rapha Zagury and CEO of Barefoot Mining, Bob Burnett for an in-depth conversation on the Bitcoin mining industry. They discuss Swan’s bold mining initiative, the differences in the various mining pools/operators, and how the upcoming halving will affect the industry as a whole.

Connect with:
Sam Callahan: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Rapha Zagury: https://twitter.com/alphaazeta
Bob Burnett: https://twitter.com/boomer_btc

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal Live” Intro
00:01:19 Introducing Rapha and Bob
00:01:54 Launching “Swan Mining”
00:08:10 Price of Asic Miner...

Sam sits down with long time Bitcoin advocate, writer and speaker Tuur Demeester, to discuss ETFs, the upcoming halving, and how to prepare for the impending Bitcoin Boom in 2024 and 2025.

Connect with Sam: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Connect with Tuur: https://twitter.com/TuurDemeester

Read Tuur's Work at https://adamantresearch.com

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal” Intro
00:01:23 Introducing Tuur Demeester
00:02:30 ”The Bitcoin Boom”
00:04:40 Are Headwinds from Selling Pressure Finally Over?
00:08:26 Entering a New Era of Bitcoin
00:10:14 Risks with Centralized Custodians Holding Institutions Bitcoin
00:14:10 Do the ETF’s Help Preve...

Sam sits down with Samson Mow of Jan3 and André Loja, founder of the F.R.E.E. Madeira initiative to chat about the challenging mission of spreading Nation-State Bitcoin Adoption around the world.

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal” Intro
00:01:34 Introducing Samson and André
00:02:30 Pro-Bitcoin President of Madeira’s Recent Troubles
00:06:39 Bitcoin is an “Independent Movement”
00:08:44 Madeira’s Financial Status that allows for Economic Freedoms
00:11:48 “Creating Initiatives that Align with Bitcoin” - Nation State Adoption
00:14:15 “Free Madeira” Project
00:16:38 How Bitcoin Mining Influences Global Bitcoin Adoption
00:18:40 “Bitcoin Atlantis” Conference
00:27:57 Understanding “Bitcoin, Not Crypto”
00...

Sam sits down with Andi Pitt from Ego Death Capital to hear more about the world of Bitcoin venture capital, her general thoughts on the current investing landscape, and about what sectors of the Bitcoin ecosystem excites her the most in 2024.

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal” Intro
00:01:10 Introducing “Andi Pitt”
00:01:51 “Focusing on Bitcoin” - Investing in Bitcoin Only Companies
00:03:21 Growth Happening in Bitcoin (L2 & L3 Solutions)
00:08:04 How the Bitcoin ETF Helps Investment in Bitcoin
00:10:41 “Tokenized Economies”
00:14:58 Finding the “Right Investor” at “Ego Death Capital”
00:16:28 Using “Bitcoin as the Benchmark”
00:18:04 New Fund Raise at “Ego Death Cap...

Sam sits down with Fred Thiel, CEO at Marathon Digital to talk about the upcoming Bitcoin supply halving, how Marathon is positioning itself to be one of the largest mining companies in the world in 2024, and what the new Bitcoin spot ETFs mean for investors in mining stocks.

Connect with Sam:
Sam Callahan: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Connect with Fred: https://twitter.com/fgthiel

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal” Intro
00:01:39 Introducing “Fred Thiel”
00:02:00 Bitcoin ETF & Rotation of Mining Stocks, MicroStrategy
00:05:04 Investors Getting Exposure to “Bitcoin”
00:08:37 FASB Accounting Rules
00:10:45 “Marathon Digital” Acqui...

Sam sits down with Alex Epstein to discuss the potential impact of Bitcoin mining on the energy industry more broadly, explore the crumbling ESG narrative, and break down the common argument that "Bitcoin is bad for the environment."

Connect with:
Sam Callahan: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Alex Epstein: https://twitter.com/AlexEpstein

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal” Intro
00:01:27 Introducing “Alex Epstein”
00:02:24 Shifting Away from ESG
00:05:16 What is “ESG”
00:08:14 Learning from the Eureopean Energy Crisis
00:11:40 “Solutions Are Hard”
00:13:36 Underinvestment in Fossil Fuels
00:18:26 Benefits of Nuclear Energy
00:24:38 Responding to, “Bitcoin is...

Brady returns to sit down with Sam and Preston as they break down all the important developments in Q4 and look at ahead at what to expect in Bitcoin and the broader financial markets in the New Year.

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal Live” Intro
00:03:05 Introducing Preston and Sam
00:03:55 “Proof of Keys" Day
00:07:37 Importance of Self-Custody
00:13:19 “Bitcoin, Not ETF”
00:16:05 Risks of Centralized Bitcoin
00:21:42 Can Bitcoin’s Price be Suppressed?
00:25:50 “HODL” Rate & Banking the Unbanked
00:28:54 Sam Bankman-Fried Political Donations
00:32:30 Sen. Elizabeth Warren “Crypto Crackdown”
00:38:30 FinCEN Rule Change
00:46:34 U.S. $34 Trillion Debt...

Sam sits down with CSO of the Human Rights Foundation Alex Gladstein to discuss Argentina and the IMF, Bitcoin adoption during his recent visit to Africa, the HRF’s new CBDC tracker, and more.

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal Live” Intro
00:01:27 Introducing Alex Gladstein
00:02:04 Javier Milei & the IMF Playbook
00:11:49 Argentina’s Transition to Dollarization
00:19:24 Bitcoin & Stablecoin Adoption in Argentina
00:21:00 Visting Malawi, Ghana and Kenya
00:25:47 Grid-Stability and the Investment in Bitcoin Mining Infrastructure
00:29:40 “Power Regeneration & Financial Inclusion”
00:33:09 Transacting in Bitcoin
00:39:16 “Bitcoin: The Green New Deal”
00:41:32 Crypto-Regulations & Censoring “Patreon” Accounts in Hong Kong
00...

On this episode of Swan Signal, Sam sat down with two Bitcoin educators in Natalie Brunell and Stephan Livera. In this conversation, they discuss the new Bitcoin course they collaborated on, how to effectively orange pill your friends and family, and why Bitcoin is "the biggest tent."

"Welcome to Bitcoin"
A FREE 1-hour course hosted by Natalie Brunell, perfect for helping you to orange-pill family members over the holidays at https://Swan.com/welcome

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal” Intro
00:02:00 Introducing Natalie and Stephan
00:02:42 “Light-Bulb Moment” on Understanding Bitcoin
00:08:22 “Welcome to Bitcoin”
00:15:0...

On this episode of Swan Signal Live, Sam sits down with John Haar and Dr. Jeff Ross to discuss all things macro. They touch on whether or not this could be the end of the Fed’s hiking cycle, delve deep into the current state of the housing market, explore inflation vs deflationary pressures, and discuss gold and Bitcoin’s value proposition.

Connect with Sam, John, and Dr Ross:
Sam Callahan: https://twitter.com/samcallah
John Haar: https://twitter.com/john_at_swan
Dr. Jeff Ross: https://twitter.com/VailshireCap

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan S...

On this episode of Swan Signal, Sam sits down with Marathon CEO Fred Thiel to discuss new innovations in Bitcoin mining, how Marathon is expanding its operations globally, why he is bullish on recycling heat from miners, and why he chose to focus his time and efforts on Bitcoin.

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal Live” Intro
00:01:29 Politicians Supporting Bitcoin
00:04:22 Positive Sentiment Shift on Bitcoin
00:06:19 Grid Stabilization with Bitcoin Mining
00:08:33 “Renewable, Off-Grid Energy from a Landfill”
00:10:44 Abu Dhabi Mining Project
00:13:57 Marathon Growing Internationally
00:17:39 Is the “Bitcoin Halving” Priced In?
00:21:42 Recessionary Pressures and Cost Cur...

On this episode of Swan Signal, Sam sat down with Bob Elliott, CEO and CIO of Unlimited and Former Investment Committee Member of Bridgewater Associates. They talk about how to preserve your wealth in the 2020’s, current market dynamics, and how a spot Bitcoin ETF could impact Bitcoin moving forward.

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal Live” Intro
00:01:50 Introducing “Bob Elliott” and His Background in Investing
00:04:58 Investing Philosophy at “Bridgewater Associates”
00:09:16 Are we Entering a New Investing Regime?
00:12:10 Why Does “Nominal Wage Growth” Matter?
00:13:33 “Unemployment Rate”
00:18:50 How Interest Rates Effect Borrowing/Lending
00:19:44 Global-Contagion-Effec...

On this episode of Swan Signal, Sam sits down with Alex Thorn to discuss Bitcoin supply and demand dynamics, impact of options markets on price movements, estimating potential spot Bitcoin ETF inflows, and regulatory updates.

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal Live” Intro
00:01:19 Introducing “Alex Thorn”
00:01:52 Alex’s Bitcoin Journey
00:03:25 What Made “Fidelity” More Open to Bitcoin?
00:07:15 Why Institutional Adoption is Coming to Bitcoin
00:11:37 Maturation Process of Bitcoin
00:15:51 How Volatility & Bitcoin Help a “Traditional Portfolio”
00:21:58 “Gold with Wings”
00:25:21 “Gamma Squeeze” - How the Options Market Effects Bitcoin's Price
00:33:48 “Hedging” in “Options Trading”
00:37:44 B...

On this episode of Swan Signal, Sam sits down with Vijay Boyapati to discuss the alleged fraud of DCG, Genesis, and their leaders Barry Silbert and Michael Moro, its impact on the likelihood of GBTC converting to a spot Bitcoin ETF, and major lessons investors can learn from the debacle.

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal” Intro
00:02:10 Introducing Vijay Boyapati
00:02:53 Daisy-Chain of Fraud: Story of DCG and Genisis
00:06:42 History of Barry Silbert, DCG, and Gemini
00:13:30 Risks of Leverage: Where Did They Get the Money From?
00:19:06 Incentive Structures: What led Three Arrows Capital to Blowing Up?<...

On this episode of Swan Signal, Sam welcomed to the show CEO of Blockstream Dr. Adam Back to discuss why he's bullish on Bitcoin before the halving, Blockstream and Swan's custody partnership, the launch of Blockstream's BASIC Note, and Blockstream's Greenlight Lightning solution.

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal” Intro
00:01:30 Introducing Adam Back
00:01:46 Reflecting on the “Bitcoin Whitepaper” Turning 15 Years Old
00:03:27 Institutional Adoption
00:05:27 Why is Self-Custody Important?
00:08:20 “Ossification of the Base Layer”
00:10:14 “BitVM”
00:15:02 “Express Turn and Complete Bitcoin Contracts”
00:16:38 Differences Between “Drive-chains” and “Side-chains”
00:19:11 What is the “Liquid” Side-chain?
00:23:55 Blockstream’s New “BASIC Note” Duration: 01:01:20

On this episode of Swan Signal, Sam dug deep into the world of on-chain analysis with James Check and David Puell, exploring their new framework called Cointime Economics, and looking at trends on-chain that may signal a new bull market could be imminent.

"Cointime Economics: A New Framework for Bitcoin on-chain Analysis"
https://20368641.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na1.net/hubfs/20368641/Cointime%20Economics%20%5BDIGITAL%20SINGLE%5D.pdf

00:00:00 “Swan Signal” Intro
00:02:05 Introducing Checkmate and David Puell
00:02:37 “Cointime Economics: A New Framework for Bitcoin On-Chain Analysis”
00:04:30 What is a “UTXO”?
00:06:41 Flaws of Traditional UTXO Analysis
00:08:55 “Lost Coins” Duration: 01:06:12

On this episode of Swan Signal, Sam was joined by Preston Pysh and Andy Edstrom for another edition of their popular quarterly macro update. Listen to their thoughts around the exploding debt levels, spot Bitcoin ETFs, the impacts of rising oil in the midst of rising geopolitical uncertainty, and hear their predictions for the coming quarter.

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal” Intro
00:03:18 Yellen says, “U.S. Can Fund Two Wars”
00:08:28 What’s the Bond Market Saying?
00:12:30 Whats Causing the Spike in Yields?
00:21:38 “Reverse Repo” and “Free Markets”
00:26:41 Financial Repression
00:28:55 The Price of Oil Soars
00...

Sam sits down with Parker to discuss the problems with payments, merchant adoption of Bitcoin, and why a price system is the ultimate end game for Bitcoin adoption.

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal” Intro
00:02:34 Focusing on Bitcoin Payments with “Zaprite”
00:07:11 Why Bitcoin is Not a Hedge
00:11:31 Has Bitcoin Already Won?
00:15:27 Why Does Society Converge on One Money?
00:21:09 Defining, “Price,” and How the World Chose the Dollar
00:24:28 How Will Bitcoin Become the Dominant Medium of Exchange?
00:32:39 The Risks of Trusting Banks, and Using Traditional Payment Rails
00:36:17 Why Merchants Should Adopt Bitcoin Payments Duration: 01:14:52

Sam sits down with Mark to discuss the current challengers to the US dollar, the conundrum facing central banks, and how Bitcoin is a technological revolution.

Connect with Sam, and Mark:
Sam Callahan: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Mark Moss: https://twitter.com/1MarkMoss

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal” Intro
00:01:59 Chase Bank Banning Crypto Asset Transactions
00:06:40 “Commercial-Bank” Coins
00:10:10 Response from Regulators when Banks Fail
00:13:20 Ways the “Fed” has Changed Since 2008
00:20:25 Long-Term Consequences of the Monetary Deceisions
00:25:07 What Could Stop the “Everything Bubble?”
00:28:00 A Coming China Crisis?
00:34:22 Labor Strikes in Ameri...

On this episode of Swan Signal, Sam sat down with Authors Neil Howe and Brandon Quittem to discuss his new book "The Fourth Turning Is Here", how Bitcoin represents a new type of institution, and whether or not Bitcoin can help the world emerge successfully from this time of chaos and change.

Connect with:
Brandon Quittem: https://twitter.com/Bquittem
Neil Howe: https://twitter.com/HoweGeneration

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal” Intro
00:01:10 Introducing Neil Howe and Brandon Quittem
00:02:01 What is “The Fourth Turning?”
00:06:55 What is the Catalyst for this “Fourth Turning?”
00:17:2...

On this episode of Swan Signal, Sam sat down with Tone Vays and Jeff Ross to discuss the current liquidity picture, bullish and bearish catalysts, and where we are in the Bitcoin cycle.

Connect with Sam, Jeff and Tone:
Sam Callahan: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Dr. Jeff Ross: https://twitter.com/VailshireCap
Tone Vays: https://twitter.com/ToneVays

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal” Intro
00:01:04 Introducing Dr.Jeff and Tone Vays
00:02:36 “Crab Market?”
00:05:20 Navigating Markets as a Trader
00:07:58 Bitcoin Price Chart and Volatility
00:15:12 Inflation, Interest Rates, and the Effects of Money...

On this episode of Swan Signal, Sam welcomed back Lyn Alden to discuss the release of her new book "Broken Money." We explored how technological breakthroughs led to the fall of gold and rise of fiat, why Bitcoin has the ability to bring back sound money principles to the digital era, and why Bitcoin and AI may be a match made in heaven.

Connect with Sam and Lyn:
Sam: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Lyn: twitter.com/LynAldenContact

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal” Intro
00:00:53 Introducing Lyn Alden
00:01:32 Understanding Other Economies; Lyn Visiting Egypt Duration: 00:58:52

Sam Callahan speaks with Peter St Onge. He makes daily videos on Economics and Freedom. He is an Economist at the Heritage Foundation a Fellow at the Mises Institute and a former MBA professor.

Connect with:
Sam Callahan: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Peter St Onge: https://twitter.com/profstonge

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal” Intro
00:01:19 Introducing Peter
00:02:29 Becoming Apart of the “Mises Institute”
00:05:27 Being Introduced to Austrian Economics
00:09:04 Learning and Educating Others about Bitcoin
00:13:00 Views on China’s Economy
00:20:36 Spillover Effects of China’s Economy Failing
00:23:02 Jackson Hole, the De...

Joe Consorti and TXMC join Sam Callahan for an in-depth conversation about the latest Bitcoin volatility, the possibility of Binance contributing to this Bitcoin sell off, a quick overview of the macroeconomy, and what’s happening in the U.S. Treasury market. They also discuss how inflation effects society and the importance of hard money and savings

Connect with:
Sam Callahan: https://twitter.com/samcallah
Joe Consorti: https://twitter.com/JoeConsorti
TXMC: https://twitter.com/TXMCtrades

Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal” Intro
00:01:06 Introducing Joe and TXMC
00:01:25 Macro-Overview
00:08:14 Why the US Treasu...

On this episode of Swan Signal, Sam Callahan speaks with Jimmy Song and Anita Posch about how Bitcoin enforces human rights, and inflation dynamics in Argentina, Zimbabwe, and Lebanon. Also we cover Jimmy's new upcoming book, Anita's Bitcoin education website, and discuss how Bitcoin is winning across the globe. 

Connect with: 
Sam: https://twitter.com/samcallah 
Jimmy: https://twitter.com/jimmysong 
Anita: https://twitter.com/AnitaPosch 

Timestamps: 
00:00:00 “Swan Signal” Intro 
00:01:23 Introducing Jimmy and Anita 
00:01:48 “How Bitcoin Enforces Human Rights “ - A Documentary by Anita Posch 
00:03:54 Fiat Corrupts Human Rights 
00:0...